Wednesday, October 13, 2010

Can't stop, won't stop

Jesus, my killer sessions do not seem to end. I played just 1.6k hands today and was up over 5 BI's. I flopped so many sets it was getting ridiculous, I was even contemplating set mining OOP in a 3bet pot. That's when you know you're getting a little too results oriented. My session was so awesome in the sense that I had very few tough decisions. It felt like a nice little grind, stick in some thin value bets, and I found some good spots to delayed cbet as opposed to cbetting outright. The james theorem says that when an opponent checks to you twice OOP, they're check/folding the turn. The power of the delayed cbet is that you know you can barrel a very small bet (just shy of half pot) and it has an immense amount of fold equity. I think i'm 6 for 6 in delayed cbets.

Why delay a cbet and not just cbet the flop? Some boards are a little "close" as Albert and I would say, and if their fold to cbet isn't drastically high at 65%+ then I'll opt for a check back and try to peel the pot off of them on the turn. Not only do I get a better price on a bluff since I can bet less, but it works far more often. Many players will make very speculative peels and bet the river when you check the turn back, but when you bet the turn theres only one more card to come. If they have a weak draw it looks a lot less appealing to them and they'll just muck it. In addition, the delayed cbet is balanced since you're checking back medium strength hands.

Cbet sizing is also something that comes up very often in poker, but we kind of don't really think too much about it because the sizing is second nature. However when I cbet 2.5 into 4.25 on Q66 against a fish, I really was thinking to myself how bad it was. Against a fish we don't need to balance our ranges, so it's fine to tailor our bet sizing to our goal for the hand and board texture. When cbetting Q66 as a bluff, we should be betting 2.5 because it gives us a better price on our bluff and has similar fold equity to a pot sized bet. When cbetting Q66 for value, we should be betting 3-4. He's folding out his air anyways regardless of what we bet, so we might as well get maximum extraction from the range that is going to continue.

It sounds a little nit picky trying to fiddle with the sizing on the flop, but how much you bet on the flop dictates how big the pot is going to get by the river. The size of the pot and the size of future bets increases exponentially. We want stacks in by the river without having to overbet because that move significantly tightens his calling range and looks incredibly strong. In the hand below, I used my small "standard" flop sizing and the pot was only $23 by the river. Just by increasing our flop bet to a thicker size, we could've gotten a $32 pot and gotten all of it. Instead, he got away with top pair without losing his entire stack.

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem • 8 Players

Generated by weaktight.com.

UTGBergson80$50.45
UTG+1NeedLamborghini$50.70
MP1Happles$50.75
MP2AFchung X$94.45
COIm a Rainbow 2$50.50
BTNn-i-s-w-e-s 23$55.20
SBduff24$48.25
BBsanjusto77$50
  • Pre-Flop ($0.75, 8 players)Hero is MP2
  • hA dA
3 folds, AFchung X raises to $1.75, 1 fold, n-i-s-w-e-s 23 calls $1.75, 2 folds
  • Flop ($4.25, 2 players)
  • dQ s6 h6
AFchung X bets $2.50, n-i-s-w-e-s 23 calls $2.50
  • Turn ($9.25, 2 players)
  • c2
AFchung X bets $7, n-i-s-w-e-s 23 calls $7
  • River ($23.25, 2 players)
  • h3
AFchung X bets $21, n-i-s-w-e-s 23 calls $21
  • Final Pot: $65.25
  • AFchung X shows two pair, Aces and Sixes
  • hAdA
  • n-i-s-w-e-s 23 shows
  • cQsT
  • AFchung X wins $62.25 (net +$30)
  • n-i-s-w-e-s 23 lost $32.25

No comments:

Post a Comment